Alignment of the 2024 Draft IRP with PCC’s Proposed NDC Emissions Reduction Recommendation

29 Sep 2025

This report assesses the alignment of South Africa’s draft Integrated Resource Plan (draft IRP 2024) with the 2035 GHG emissions range proposed in the PCC’s draft recommendations for the 2035 Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) update. It focuses on the emissions implications of coal and gas generation within the draft IRP, given their significant impact on achieving national emissions targets. The analysis uses modelling from the Energy Systems Research Group (ESRG) to determine how coal and gas capacity and capacity factors affect compatibility with the proposed NDC range in the draft recommendations report.